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Betting market update

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The last fortnight has seen some bookies move to the Government and some away. The average of the five bookmakers suggested a 57.4 per cent probability of a Coalition government following the 2007 Federal election. (It was 57.6 per cent on 1 January 2007).

For a Coalition win

would pay $1.66 and for a Labor win it would pay $2.10. The implied probability of a Coalition win at the next election is 55.9 per cent (was 57.7 per cent)

For a Coalition win

would pay $1.68 and for a Labor win it would pay $2.15. The implied probability of a Coalition win at the next election is 56.1 per cent (unchanged)

is paying $1.57 for a Coalition win and $2.30 for a Labor win. The implied probability of a Coalition win at the next election is 59.4 per cent (unchanged)

is paying $1.58 for a Coalition win and $2.30 for a Labor win. The implied probability of a Coalition win at the next election is 59.3 per cent (was 56.3 per cent)

For a Coalition win

would pay $1.66 and for a Labor win it would pay $2.12. The implied probability of a Coalition win at the next election is 56.1 per cent (was 58.4 per cent)

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